{"id":1977,"date":"2019-02-15T09:16:31","date_gmt":"2019-02-15T09:16:31","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.factorydata.com\/?p=1977"},"modified":"2019-02-15T09:16:31","modified_gmt":"2019-02-15T09:16:31","slug":"todavia-juegas-la-loteria","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.factorydata.com\/en\/todavia-juegas-la-loteria\/","title":{"rendered":"\u00bfTodav\u00eda juegas a la loter\u00eda?"},"content":{"rendered":"

Hace a\u00f1os tuve un profesor que siempre nos dec\u00eda: \u201csi las personas que juegan a la loter\u00eda tuviesen formaci\u00f3n en estad\u00edstica, dejar\u00edan de comprar boletos\u201d.<\/h4>\n

La verdad es que todos somos m\u00e1s o menos conscientes de la poca probabilidad que tenemos de ganar cuando compramos loter\u00eda, pero como el coste y riesgo que asumimos es tan bajo, no nos preocupamos demasiado por ello.<\/h4>\n

\u00bfCu\u00e1les son las probabilidades de que nos toque la loter\u00eda?<\/h4>\n

\"Loteria\"<\/a><\/p>\n

Como vemos la probabilidad de ganar es realmente muy baja.<\/h4>\n

Cuando incorporamos productos a nuestro almac\u00e9n, de alguna manera, tambi\u00e9n estamos comprando un boleto de loter\u00eda, \u00bfser\u00e1 un producto de rotaci\u00f3n? \u00bfse vender\u00e1 pronto?<\/h4>\n

La diferencia, es que en esta loter\u00eda del recambio de veh\u00edculos, los premios se dan cada minuto (cada vez que un cliente nos solicita una pieza) y el riesgo en este caso es doble:
\n1. Tener boletos (productos) que no tocan casi nunca. Obsoletos<\/strong>.
\n2. No tener los boletos (productos) que con frecuencia son ganadores. Ventas perdidas<\/strong>.<\/h4>\n

Como a todos nos gusta ganar, vamos a ver como podemos disponer en nuestro almac\u00e9n de todos los boletos (productos) que m\u00e1s van a ser ganadores y desprendernos de los que tocan una vez al a\u00f1o o \u00a1nunca!<\/h4>\n

En la loter\u00eda del recambio de veh\u00edculos, curiosamente cada mes aparecen nuevos n\u00fameros y al mismo tiempo desaparecen otros para siempre, \u00a1sin avisar!<\/h4>\n

\u00bfDe qu\u00e9 volumen de boletos estamos hablando? \u00bfCon que frecuencia son ganadores los distintos boletos?<\/h4>\n

Esta seria la pir\u00e1mide de distribuci\u00f3n de n\u00ba de boletos (productos) y la frecuencia en que tocan para motores de arranque y alternadores en toda Europa durante 2018:<\/h4>\n

\"Piramide\"<\/a><\/p>\n

Los productos de tipo A tocan 60 veces de cada 100 premios, los de tipo A y B de forma conjunta, 80 veces de cada 100 premios, etc. Si queremos que nos toque siempre deber\u00edamos tener 15.358<\/strong> productos. Finalmente tambi\u00e9n podemos ver que hay 26.642 productos que ya no tocan nunca.<\/h4>\n

Detectar los boletos ganadores de tipo A o tipo B es muy f\u00e1cil, \u00a1Continuamente los est\u00e1n solicitando los clientes, as\u00ed que seguro que los detectaremos muy pronto! Aqu\u00ed la competencia es feroz pues todo el mundo los tiene, el precio y el tiempo de entrega son factores clave.<\/h4>\n

Cuando queremos ampliar el servicio y tener productos de tipo C o tipo D, empezamos a asumir m\u00e1s riesgos porque la dificultad en identificarlos correctamente aumenta mucho.<\/h4>\n

Siempre podemos esperar que en un futuro un producto se convierta en tipo A o B, pero nadie nos lo garantiza, y mientras tanto, tendremos capital durmiendo en las estanter\u00edas y nos faltar\u00e1n muchos productos con potencial de venta.<\/h4>\n

Un sistema de an\u00e1lisis de la demanda nos ayuda a conocer que tipo de productos tenemos en el almac\u00e9n (A, B, C, etc), y en identificar todos aquellos productos que nos faltan. Entonces, en base a la estrategia de nuestra empresa, podremos decidir que productos incorporamos y que productos no son interesantes.<\/h4>\n

Market Expert<\/strong>: plataforma de an\u00e1lisis de la demanda para recambios de autom\u00f3vil.<\/h4>\n

By\u00a0 Joan Cab\u00f3s
\nCEO & Founder<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Hace a\u00f1os tuve un profesor que siempre nos dec\u00eda: \u201csi las personas que juegan a la loter\u00eda tuviesen formaci\u00f3n en […]<\/p>","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":1989,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"default","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"ast-content-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"footnotes":""},"categories":[18],"tags":[32,36,106,16,104],"class_list":["post-1977","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-neo","tag-definir-y-ampliar-el-catalogo","tag-demanda-mercado","tag-distribucion-demanda-abc","tag-market-expert","tag-planificacion-de-gama"],"yoast_head":"\n\u00bfTodav\u00eda juegas a la loter\u00eda? 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